Working Papers
Working Paper No. 1563
Place Marketing or Civic Information? Classifying Municipal Tweets using Machine Learning
How do municipalities use social media? For place marketing, civic information, or dialogue with citizens? We address this question by classifying 35,930 tweets from 15 municipal Twitter accounts in t…
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Working Paper No. 1561
Elite Participation as a Measure of Global Development
Treating development as the ability to participate in complex, non-subsistence, globally comparable activities, this paper proposes participation in elite activities as an indicator of global developm…
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Working Paper No. 1557
Populism, Constitutional Constraints, and Freedom of Expression
Populists typically frame politics as a conflict between a corrupt elite and a virtuous people and are skeptical of institutional constraints, including those protecting freedom of expression, as they…
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Working Paper No. 1555
A New IV Estimator of a Panel VAR(p) Model
We propose a novel dynamic panel estimator. Different from the commonly used difference and system GMM, our proposed estimator requires only one of the cross-sectional dimension (N) or the time dimens…
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Working Paper No. 1552
Inventing Green: Environmental Shocks and the Long-Term Reorientation of Innovation
How are preferences for innovation formed, and what determines the long-run direction of technological change? This paper shows that early-life exposure to environmental accidents can durably reorient…
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Working Paper No. 1551
How Parenting Styles Shape Children’s Lifetime Outcomes
This study examines how parenting styles predict children’s lifetime outcomes. Using a Swedish dataset which combines rich survey information on parenting styles with administrative records tracking c…
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Working Paper No. 1545
How Early Career Choices Adjust to Economic Crises
We study how students adjust their early career choices in response to economic crises and how these decisions affect their long-run labor market outcomes. Focusing on Sweden’s deep recession in the e…
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Working Paper No. 1544
Understanding Immigrant Self-Employment in Sweden: Insights from the Literature
We present results from research on different dimensions of immigrant self-employment in Sweden. There are variations in self-employment rates between different groups of immigrants and the native pop…
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Working Paper No. 1543
Must Capital Income Increase Long-Term Inequality? Evidence from Sweden 1991–2021
Capital income is known to increase income inequality when measured on an annual basis, but the role of personal capital income in long-run inequality is rarely studied. Theoretically, capital income…
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Working Paper No. 1541
Does Competition from For-Profit Firms Raise Wages for Preschool Workers?
We study the wage effects of an expansion of for-profit preschools in Sweden, which followed after a reform in 2006 removed municipalities’ right to veto private entry. The expansion decreased prescho…
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Working Paper No. 1540
Income and Employment for Immigrants and Immigrant-Dense Neighbourhoods in Sweden 1998–2022
This paper examines income and employment outcomes for immigrants in Sweden’s most immigrant-dense neighbourhoods between 1998 and 2022. While relative employment among immigrants has improved, relati…
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Working Paper No. 1536
Sentence Length and Recidivism: Court Rulings based on BAC
We study the effect of prison sentences on recidivism using a unique feature of sentencing for drunk driving in the Swedish court system. Below the blood alcohol concentration (BAC) of 1.0‰, individua…
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Working Paper No. 1533
Managerial Origin and Firms’ Demand for Labor Migrants: Evidence from Sweden
This paper examines how managerial background influences firms’ use of labor migration. Using Swedish data, we analyze whether firms led by foreign-born managers are more likely to apply for work perm…
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Working Paper No. 1524
The Impact of Firm-Influenced Vocational Education on Labor Market and Demographic Outcomes
This paper examines the impact of a Swedish policy allowing manufacturing firms to influence the curricula of local educational institutions. Our analysis shows that the program has contributed to a s…
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Working Paper No. 1521
Coming Together or Coming Apart? Crises, Uncertainty and Tolerance
Uncertainty affects people in various ways. It is frequently found to hinder investment and production in the economic sphere. In this study, we examine the empirical relationship between uncertainty…
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Working Paper No. 1520
E-scooters and Traffic Accidents: Evidence from Staggered Roll-Out in Swedish Municipalities
The rapid rise of e-scooters (electric scooters) in cities around the world, boosted by the introduction of shared e-scooter services has visibly reshaped the way people move around cities, sparking b…
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Working Paper No. 1518
Coup d’États, Institutional Change, and Productivity
Understanding the consequences and recovery for countries hit by adverse national events such as political crises is central to understanding long-run development dynamics. Utilizing the Coleman boat…
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Working Paper No. 1517
Pattern Bargaining as a Means to Coordinate Wages in the Nordic Countries
The various form of pattern bargaining with manufacturing, as representative of the tradables sector, deciding the norm for wage increases in the Nordic countries are reviewed. This form of bargaining…
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Working Paper No. 1513
The Long-Term Effects of Early Sports Selection
This paper examines the long-term effects of early sports selection using a regression discontinuity design. I show that Swedish track and field athletes who qualified for a one-time appearance with t…
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Working Paper No. 1509
The Intergenerational Effects of Parental Incarceration
We estimate the causal effects of parental incarceration on children’s short- and long-run outcomes using administrative data from Sweden. Our empirical strategy exploits exogenous variation in parent…
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Working Paper No. 1506
The Effect of an Anonymous Grading Reform for Male and Female University Students
This paper presents evidence that anonymous grading benefits female university students based on a university-wide reform. Female grades improve by 0.04-0.06 standard deviations relative to males, wit…
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Working Paper No. 1505
Stress-Testing a Quasi-Market: Unintended Consequences of the Swedish School Voucher System
Quasi-markets in the provision of public services are increasingly common but also highly contested. We formulate a conceptual framework based on economic theory to describe how quasi-markets differ f…
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Working Paper No. 1504
On Credibility and Causality in Economics: A Critical Appraisal
Borrowing ideas from the medical sciences, we propose tentative guidelines for reliable causal inferences that cover aspects related to both the study itself and its fit with background knowledge. We…
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Working Paper No. 1499
The Growth Consequences of Socialism
The discussion of the growth consequences of socialism has fulminated for a century, sparked off by the Calculation Debate in the 1920s and 30s, and has concerned the performance of the Soviet Union i…
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Working Paper No. 1498
Individualism and Working from Home
This paper investigates the role of individualism in explaining cross-country differences in working from home (WFH). Using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) of the United States and the E…
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Working Paper No. 1497
Immigrant Self-employment in Turbulent Times: A Decade with Refugee Crisis and the COVID-19 Pandemic
We examine immigrant self-employment in Sweden during 2011–2021 – a turbulent decade with a large influx of refugees into the country and the outbreak of the global COVID-19 pandemic. Four outcome var…
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Working Paper No. 1491
Populist Parties’ Popularity Post Power
Populist parties have grown rapidly in popularity in most European countries, and are increasingly common in government coalitions. Analyzing 183 populist parties in 33 European countries from 1980 to…
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Working Paper No. 1490
Infrastructure Expansion, Tourism, and Electoral Outcomes
This paper examines the electoral impact of increased foreign tourism, using data from Croatia. Exploiting exogenous variation in travel times to coastal municipalities from improved road infrastructu…
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Working Paper No. 1487
Self-Employment among In-Movers and Stayers in Rural Areas: Insights from Swedish Register and Survey Data
Our use of longitudinal register data combined with a unique survey allows us to offer a more comprehensive picture of rural self-employment than in previous studies. We find that self-employed in rur…
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Working Paper No. 1486
Economic Freedom and Academic Freedom across Nations
Academic freedom is a cornerstone of modern academic life. It is not only implied by basic liberal principles but also contributes to scientific progress and economic growth. It is therefore important…
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