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Working Paper No. 1500

Tolerating Losses for Growth: J-Curves in Venture Capital Investing

Working Paper
Reference
Hellmann, Thomas, Alexander Montag and Joacim Tåg (2024). “Tolerating Losses for Growth: J-Curves in Venture Capital Investing”. IFN Working Paper No. 1500. Stockholm: Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN).

Authors
Thomas Hellmann, Alexander Montag, Joacim Tåg

Startups face a trade-off between short-term profitability versus long-term growth. Their cash flows are said to follow a so-called J-curve. The shape of the curve depends on investor tolerance for prolonged financial losses. US venture capitalists are commonly believed to have higher loss tolerance. We examine a large Swedish dataset with detailed cash flow information. Swedish startups backed by US venture capitalists experience deeper J-curves than those backed by non-US venture capitalists. In the long run, they have more successful exits, higher exit values, faster sales growth. Our evidence suggests that better access to funding and networks enable USVC investors to drive deeper J-curves.