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Working Paper No. 1495

Partial Retirement and Labor Supply: Evidence from Swedish Collective Bargaining Agreements

Working Paper
Reference
Bustos, Emil (2024). “Partial Retirement and Labor Supply: Evidence from Swedish Collective Bargaining Agreements”. IFN Working Paper No. 1495. Stockholm: Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN).

Author
Emil Bustos

Aging populations strain pension systems, prompting policymakers to introduce partial retirement schemes to incentivize workers to retire later. I study the impact of introducing partial retirement within collective bargaining agreements in Sweden’s manufacturing sector in 2013. Merging collective bargaining data with administrative records, I employ a difference-in-differences methodology to analyze the labor market trajectories of eligible and ineligible cohorts around the introduction year.

The results reveal a nuanced picture: while eligible workers are more likely to work and claim pension benefits simultaneously, this comes at the expense of a 10% decline in employment rates and a SEK 50,000 reduction in labor earnings. In summary,
partial retirement fails to extend working lives, thus undermining its utility as a one-size-fits-all solution to the future of pension systems.